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　　【原始】The following appeared as part of the business plan of the Capital Idea investment firm:

　　“Across town in the Park Hill district, the Thespian Theater, Pizzazz Pizza, and the Niblick Golf Club have all had business increases over the past two years. Capital Idea should therore invest in the Roxy Playhouse, the Slice-o’- Pizza, and the Divot Golf Club, three new businesses in the Irongate district. As a condition, we should require them to participate in a special program: Any customer who patronizes two of the businesses will receive a substantial discount at the third. By motivating customers to patronize all three, we will thus contribute to the profitability of each and maximize our return.”

　　Discuss how well reasoned . . . etc. (感谢milktea2013直接给了原题)

　　【参考思路】

　　1、 错误类比，

　　First of all, the success of the Thespian Theater, Pizzazz Pizza, and the Niblick Golf Club in the Park Hill district does not gurantee the success of the Roxy Playhouse,

　　2、 过去两年推将来

　　Secondly, the fact that three business in the Park Hill district have all had business increases within the past two years does not warrant they will continue to be profitable in the coming year.

　　3、 无关假设

　　Finally, the author unfairly assumes that customers will take equal interest in the three different new business, but the consumers may patronize(惠顾)only one or two of the new business.

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