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狗主回忆：（补充）

　　14. AA：好像是3月JJ里面也有的~关于不投资ice-cream的，说这个地方很冷slow sales而且唯一的冰激凌店去年销量也不好。

　　原题猜测：

　　The following appeared as part of a memorandum from the loan department of the Frostbite National Bank:

　　“We should not approve the business loan application of the local group that wants to open a franchise outlet for the Kool Kone chain of ice cream parlors. Frostbite is known for its cold winters, and cold weather can mean slow ice cream sales. For example, even though Frostbite is a town of 10,000 people, it has only one ice cream spot—the Frigid Cow. Despite the lack of competition, the Frigid Cow’s net revenues fell by 10 percent last winter.”

　　Discuss how well reasoned . . . etc.

　　思路：

　　Frostbite国家银行的借贷部门的备忘录：

　　我们不应该批准那个希望开一家KK冰激凌连锁店的特许店的本地团体的借贷请求。Frostbite以其寒冷的冬天而闻名，而冷天气意味着冰激凌的销售不利。比如，虽然Frostbite是个有10000人的镇子，它却只有一家冰激凌店Frigid Cow。尽管缺乏竞争，Frigid Cow的净收入去年冬天下降了10%。

　　FLAW：

　　l 无因果联系：冷天气与冰激凌销售无关

　　l All things are equal:去年的收入下降不能说明今年的也会下降

　　l Gratuitous assumption:只有一家冰激淋店不能说明没有竞争

　　Anikakoko大牛给的JJ里的分析和例文：

　　思路：

　　1. 净收入下降的原因有很多。不一定是因为F地冷所以冰淇林就卖不好。可能是品质下降，成本提高，或正是没有竞争造成的。所以认为净收入下降是因为当地冰淇林不受欢迎的说法不合理。

　　2. 全时对等：去年的数据不代表今年也会这样。不能表示将来也会这样。

　　3. 冬天冷不代表没有夏天。任何地方冰淇林在夏天的销量都比冬天好。也没有证据说F地夏天很短。所以冬天冷就认为不要卖冰淇林不合理。

　　In this memorandum the loan department of Frostbite National Bank recommends against approval of a business loan to a local group that wants to open an ice creamparlor. In support of this decision the loan department points out that Frostbite has a reputation for cold winters and sales of ice cream decrease in cold weather. This latter point is buttressed by the fact that Frostbite’s only ice cream parlor suffered a 10 percent decline in net revenues the previous winter. The loan department’s decision is questionable for the following reasons.

　　To begin with, since it is reasonable to expect a decline in ice cream sales during winter months, it is difficult to assess the relevance of the fact that Frostbite has cold winters to the potential success of the Kool Kone franchise. Common sense suggests that this fact would be significant only if it turned out that Frostbite’s winter season lasted 9 or 10 months as it does in arctic regions. In that case slow sales could be expected for most of the year and the loan department’s opposition to the loan would be readily understandable. If, on the other hand, Frostbite’s winter season lasts only a few months and the remainder of the year is warm or hot, it is difficult to comprehend the loan department’s reasoning.

　　Next, the loan department assumes that the Frigid Cow’s decline in net revenue last winter was a result of slow sales occasioned by cold weather. While this is a possible reason for the decline, it is not the only factor that could account for it. For example, other factors such as poor business practices or lack of inventory could be responsible for the Frigid Cow’s loss of revenue. The loan department’s failure to investigate or even consider these and other possible explanations for the Frigid Cow’s decline in revenue renders their decision highly suspect.

　　In conclusion, the loan department’s decision is ill-founded. To better evaluate the decision, we would need to know more about the length and severity of Frostbite’s winter season. Moreover, evidence would have to be provided to support the assumption that the Frigid Cow’s loss of revenue last winter was a direct result of the cold weather.

　　以上就是4月6日更新的GMAT作文AA部分机经，考生可以适当借鉴，并通过练习来掌握GMAT作文的解题规律，从而在GMAT考试中发挥出更好的水平。 相关链接：

1.GMAT考试备考经验分享：心态决定成绩

2.GMAT考试 4月9日更新GMAT阅读机经(十)

3.GMAT考试作文机经AA部分 4月06日更新（一）

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