转眼10月已经过去了一大半，也迎来了每个月GMAT机经换库的日子，10月GMAT机经换库了，现在就由小编来为大家整理十月份的GMAT作文机经整理，下面是关于GMAT作文机经的相关问题，希望对大家有所帮助。

　　【原始】说了一个健身馆的经理们发现自从去年八月游泳池建立以后，馆里的访客增加，所以他们就有了一个plan，建造更多设施，还说只要是这附近设施最齐全的健身馆就可以很有竞争力

　　【原题】The following appeared as part of a business plan created by the management of the Take Heart Fitness Center.

　　“After opening the new swimming pool early last summer, Take Heart saw a 12 percent increase in the use of the center by members. Therore, in order to increase the number of our members and thus our revenues, which depend on membership fees, we should continue to add new recreational facilities in subsequent years: for example, a multipurpose game room, a tennis court, and a miniature golf course. Being the only center in the area offering this range of activities would give us a competitive advantage in the health and recreation market.”

　　Discuss how well reasoned . . . etc.

　　【参考思路】

　　1. Cause relationship

　　(an increase in member usage portends and increase in membership. 我一个人用100次，你也只能收我一次入会的钱，很傻很天真)

　　2. All else equal

　　(一年前的事情，现在不代表还会发生， 以前有可能是当地只有一家游泳场， 没有竞争，而现在竞争很激烈了，你多开几家的cost，根本赚不回来)

　　3. 无关假设

　　你增加用泳池数量 就一定能增加 会员数量， 谁给你的idea、 今年可能天气比较冷，根本大家都不游泳， 赔的你连底裤都不剩。)

　　【参考范文】

　　Because Take Heart Fitness Center experienced a 12 percent increase in member usage as a result of opening a new swimming pool last summer, the author recommends the addition of new recreational facilities in subsequent years as a means of increasing membership in Take Heart. The author’s recommendation is problematic for several reasons.

　　First, and foremost, the author assumes that an increase in member usage portends an increase in membership. This assumption may hold true in some cases. However, it is unlikely to hold true in the case at hand, because it is reasonable to expect that members would visit the fitness center to inspect and try out the new swimming pool. This would account for the increase in usage. However, since the author provides no evidence that this new rate of usage was sustained, the abrupt increase in usage provides little evidence that the addition of facilities such as the pool will attract new members.

　　Second, the author assumes that the addition of the swimming pool was responsible for the increase in member usage. However, the only evidence for this claim is insufficient to establish the causal claim in question. While temporal precedence is one of the conditions required to establish a causal relationship between two events, by itself it is not a sufficient condition. Consequently, it is possible that the addition of the pool was unrelated to the increase in usage in the manner required by the author’s argument.

　　Finally, the author has provided no evidence to support the contention that Take Heart will be the only center in the area to offer a wide range of activities to its members and thus have a competitive advantage in the fitness market.

　　In conclusion, the author’s beli that adding additional recreational facilities will increase Take Heart’s membership is ill-founded. To strengthen the argument the author would have to provide evidence that member usage is reliable indicator of new membership. Additionally, it would be necessary to show that the cause of the increase in usage was the opening of the new pool.

　　转眼10月已经过去了一大半，也迎来了每个月GMAT机经换库的日子，10月GMAT机经换库了，现在就由小编来为大家整理十月份的GMAT作文机经整理，下面是关于GMAT作文机经的相关问题，希望对大家有所帮助。

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